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Working Papers - “Evaluating U.S. Fuel Economy
Standards in a Model with Producer and Household Heterogeneity”
Abstract: This paper employs an empirically
estimated model to study the equilibrium effects of an increase in the
U.S. corporate average fuel economy (CAFE) standards. The model pays
close attention to heterogeneity of producers and households and
associated differences in responses to the regulation. A distinguishing
feature of the model is that it captures the fact that some firms are
unconstrained by CAFE regulation, while others choose either to violate
the regulation (pay a fine) or to meet the standard. By taking this
heterogeneity into account, I find that the profit impacts of CAFE fall
almost entirely on domestic producers. In addition, the model develops
utility-consistent welfare analyses that allow direct comparison of the
CAFE standard with gasoline taxes, considering the simultaneous household
decision of vehicle and miles traveled. I find that increased gasoline
taxes would reduce gasoline consumption for about one-sixth the welfare
cost of a corresponding increment to the CAFE standard. Finally, the
model accounts for the dynamic effects of CAFE on used vehicle markets --
effects that turn out to be important to the welfare impacts. The
consumer surplus changes in used car markets make up nearly half of the
gross welfare costs of an increase in the CAFE standard. These effects
fall disproportionately on lowincome households. Contrary to previous
findings, the overall welfare costs are regressive.
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“Costs of Alternative Environmental Policy Instruments in the Presence of Industry Compensation Requirements” (with Lans Bovenberg and Lawrence Goulder), submitted.
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“Distributional and Efficiency Impacts of Increased U.S. Gasoline Taxes” (with Antonio Bento,
Lawrence Goulder, and Roger von Haefen), submitted.
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“Electricity Regulation in California and Input Market Distortion” (with Azeem Shaikh)
Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research Discussion Paper, No. 03-016.
Publications
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“Ricardian Rents, Environmental Policy, and the ‘Double-Dividend’ Hypothesis” (with Antonio
Bento)
Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Vol. 53(1), 2007.
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“Distributional and Efficiency Impacts of Gasoline Taxes: An Econometrically Based Multi-market
Study” (with Antonio Bento, Lawrence Goulder, Emeric Henry, and Roger von Haefen)
American Economic Review - Papers and Proceedings, Vol. 95, No. 2, 2005.
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“Meeting Concentration Targets in the Post-Kyoto World — Does Kyoto Further a Least Cost
Strategy?” (with Gary Yohe)
Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Vol. 4, No. 1, 1999.
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“Spanning Not Implausible Futures to Assess Relative Vulnerability to Climate Change and Climate
Variability” (with Gary Yohe and Taras Gapotchenko)
Global Environmental Change, Vol. 9, No. 3,
1999.
CV (pdf)
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