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Economics Department Seminars 2004-2005

Seminars are held in the Economics Building, Room 300 and
begin at 3:30p.m. unless otherwise noted

Thursday September 23
Macro

Richard K. Lyons (UC Berkeley)

"Exchange Rate Fundamentals and Order Flow"
Joint with Martin D.D. Evans

Monday September 27
Applied

Meghan Busse (UC Berkeley)

"$1000 Cash Back: Asymmetric Information in Auto Manufacturer Promotions"

Tuesday September 28
Econometrics

UCSD Faculty Presentations

Thursday September 30
Macro

Carlos Capistran (UCSD)

"Bias in Federal Reserve Inflation Forecasts: Is the Federal Reserve Irrational or Just Cautious?"

Monday October 4
Applied

James Rauch (UCSD)

“Neckties in the Tropics: A Model of International Trade and Cultural Diversity.”

Tuesday October 5
Theory

Steven Scroggin (UCSD)

"Prediction and Exploitation of Believers in the 'Law of Small Numbers' in Repeated Constant-Sum Games."

Wednesday October 6
Econometrics

Don Andrews (Yale)

"Optimal Invariant Similar Tests for Instrumental Variables Regression."

Thursday October 7
Macro

Bradford DeLong (UC Berkeley)

"What Should Monetary Policy Have Been After the NASDAQ Bubble?"

Friday October 8
Applied

Lanier Benkard (Stanford University, Graduate School of Business)

“Estimating Dynamic Models of Imperfect
Competition.”

Monday October 11
Applied

Marc Melitz (Harvard University)

"Trading Partners and Trading Volumes."
Joint with Elhanan Helpman and Yona Rubinstein

Wednesday October 13
Theory

Andrzej Skrzypacz (Stanford University, Graduate School of Business)

"Bidding with Securities: Auctions and Security Design."
Joint with Peter DeMarzo and Ilan Kremer

Thursday October 14
Theory

David Vera (UCSD)

"Changes in the Monetary Transmission Mechanism: Evidence from Bank Mergers."

Friday October 15
Applied

UCSD Faculty Presentations

Monday October 18
Applied

Preston McAfee (Cal Tech)

"Capacity Choice Counters the Coase Conjecture."
(Please note title change.)

Tuesday October 19
Econometrics

Andrew Ang (USC/Columbia University)

"Stock Return Predictability: Is it There?"

Wednesday October 20
Theory

Preston McAfee (CalTech)

"A Theory of Bilateral Oligopoly."

Monday October 25
Applied

Kate Antonovics (UCSD)

"A New Look at Racial Profiling: Evidence from the Boston Police Department."

Tuesday October 26
Econometrics

Giuseppe Ragusa (UCSD)

TBA

Tuesday October 26
Theory
Extra Theory Reading Group
Location: Sequoyah Hall 244
Time: 3:30p.m.

Steven Shavell (Harvard University Law School)

"The Appeals Process and Adjudicator Incentives."

Wednesday October 27
Theory

Martin Osborne (University of Toronto)

"Party Formation in Single-Issue Politics."

Thursday October 28
Macro

Michael B. Devereux (University of British Columbia)

"Exchange Rate Policy and Endogenous Price Flexibility."

Friday October 29
Applied

David Weil (Brown University)

"Accounting for the Effect of Health on Economic Growth."

Monday November 1
Applied

Phillip Leslie (Stanford University, Graduate School of Business)

"Reputational Incentives for Restaurant Hygiene."
Updated paper - 10/29/04

Tuesday November 2
Econometrics

Rossen Valkanov (UCLA)

"Estimation of Parametric Equity Portfolio Weights: Exploring Size, Book to Market and Momentum."

Wednesday November 3
Theory

Mark Machina (UCSD)

"Ellsberg Preferences."

Thursday November 4
Macro

James Hamilton (UCSD)

"What's Real About the Business Cycle?"

Monday November 8
Applied

Enrico Moretti (UC Berkeley)

"Bidding for Industrial Plants: Does Winning a 'Million Dollar Plant' Increase Welfare?"

Tuesday November 9
Econometrics

George Monokroussos (UCSD)

"Dynamic Limited Dependent Variable Modeling and US MonetaryPolicy."

Wednesday November 10
Theory

David Miller (UCSD)

"Attainable Payoffs in Repeated Games with Interdependent Private Information."

Monday November 15
Applied

Christopher Knittel (UC Davis)

"Incompatibility, Product Attributes and Consumer Welfare: Evidence from ATMs."
Joint with Victor Stango

Tuesday November 16
Econometrics

Gautam Tripath (University of Connecticut)

"Combining Datasets to Overcome Selection Caused by Censoring and Truncation in Moment Based Models."
Joint with Paul Devereux

Wednesday November 17
Theory

Bill Zame (UCLA)

"Marrying Markets and Contracts."

Thursday November 18
Macro

Carlos Vegh (UCLA)

"Optimal Monetary Policy under Asset Market Segmentation."
Joint with Amartya Lahiri and Rajesh Singh

Friday November 19
Macro

Dmitriy Stolyarov (University of Michigan)

"Obsolescence of Durables and Optimal Consumption."

Monday November 22
Applied

Francesca Mazzolari (UCSD)

"What Accounts for Recent Declines in Welfare Caseloads in the US? The Role of Time Limits"

Tuesday November 23
Econometrics

Davide Pettenuzzo (Bocconi)

"Optimal Asset Allocation Under Model Instability."

Wednesday November 24
Theory

Pierpaolo Battigalli (Bocconi)

"Dynamic Pyschological Games."

Monday November 29
Macro

Adam Ashcraft (Federal Reserve Bank of New York)

"Are Banks Really Special? New Evidence from the FDIC-induced Failure of Healthy Banks"

Tuesday November 30
Econometrics

Bruce Hansen (University of Wisconsin)

TBA

Wednesday December 1

Amy Finkelstien (Harvard Fellows)

"The Aggregate Effects of Health Insurance: Evidence from the Introduction of Medicare."

Thursday December 2

Ben Olken (NBER)

"Monitoring Corruption: Evidence from a Field Experiment in Indonesia."

Wednesday January 5
Theory

Navin Kartik (UCSD)

"Special Interest Politics and the Quality of Governance."
Joint with B. Douglas Bernheim

Wednesday January 12
Macro

Eric Swanson (The Federal Reserve Board)

"The Sensitivity of Long-Term Interest Rates to Economic News: Evidence and Implications for Macroeconomic Models"

Thursday January 13
Macro

Christian Broda (Federal Reserve Bank of New York)

"Globalization and the Gains from Variety"
Joint with David Weinstein

Friday January 14

Bryan Graham (Harvard University)

"Identifying Social Interactions Through Excess Variance Contrasts"

Wednesday January 19

Guido Menzio (Northwestern University)

"High Frequency Wage Rigidity"

Thursday January 20

Piotr Eliasz (Princeton University)

"Optimal Median Unbiased Estimation of Coefficients on Highly Persistent Regressors"

Friday January 21

Henry Siu (University of British Columbia)

"State Dependent Pricing and Business Cycle Asymmetries"

Monday January 24

Rustam Ibragimov (Yale University)

"On the Robustness of Economic Models to Heavy-Tailedness Assumptions"

Tuesday January 25

Miklos Koren (Harvard University)

"Technological Diversification "

Wednesday January 26

Kevin Song (Yale University)

"Testing Semiparametric Conditional Moment Restrictions using Conditional Martingale Transforms"

Friday January 28

Kolver Hernandez (Boston College)

"State-Dependent Nominal Rigidities"

Tuesday February 1

Daniel Hojman (Harvard University)

"Core and Periphery in Endogenous Networks"

Wednesday February 2

Jordan Matsudaira (University of Michigan)

"Sinking or Swimming? Evaluating the Impact of English Immersion Versus Bilingual Education on Student Achievement"

Thursday February 3

Andres Aradillas-Lopez (UC Berkeley)

"Semiparametric Estimation of a Simultaneous Game with Incomplete Information"

Friday February 4

Alexander Ueberfeldt (Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis)

"Working Time Over the the 20th Century"

Tuesday February 8

Petia Topalova (MIT)

"Factor Immobility and Regional Impacts of Trade Liberalization: Evidence on Poverty and Inequality from India"

Thursday February 10

Edward Knotek (University of Michigan)

"Convenient Prices, Currency and Nominal Rigidity: Theory with Evidence from Newspaper Prices"

Friday February 11

Lu Han (Stanford University)

"The Effects of Price Uncertainty on Housing Demand in the Presence of Lumpy Transaction Costs"

Monday February 14

Special Lunch Talk 11:40-1:00 (Sequoyah 244)
Host: Michelle White

Steve Rivkin
(Amherst College)
"The Market for Teacher Quality"

Monday February 14

Thomas Chaney (MIT)

"Distorted Gravity: Heterogenous Firms, Market Structure and the Geography of International Trade"

Tuesday February 15

Ran Abramitzky (Northwestern University)

"The Limits of Equality: An Economic Analysis of the Israeli Kibbutz"

Wednesday February 16

Alberto Martin (Columbia University)

"Endogenous Credit Cycles and Financial Dampening in an Adverse Selection Economy"

Friday February 18

Ivana Komunjer (Cal Tech)

"Efficient Conditional Quantile Estimation: The Time Series Case"

Tuesday February 22

Christian Julliard (Princeton University)

"Labor Income Risk and Asset Returns"

Wednesday February 23

Nava Ashraf (Harvard University)

"Spousal Control and Intra-Household Decision Making: An Experimental Study in the Philippines"

Tuesday March 1

Arnaud Costinot (Princeton University)

"Imperfect Contract Enforcement, Form Size, and the Pattern of Trade"

Wednesday March 9

Luis Garicano (Chicago GSB)

"Organizing For Synergies: Allocating Control to Manage the Coordination-Incentives Tradeoff"

Thursday March 10

Bryan Graham (Harvard University)

"Alternative Methods of Estimation and Inference for Social Interaction Models"

Friday March 11

Shang-Jin Wei (International Monetary Fund)

"A Prism into the PPP Puzzles: The Micro-foundations of Nig Mac Real Exchange Rates"

Thursday March 24
Macro

Jeff Campbell (Federal reserve Bank of Chicago)

"The Role of Collateralized Household Debt in Macroeconomic Stabilization" joint with Zvi Hercowitz

Monday March 28
Applied

Dan Ackerberg (University of Arizona)

"Structural Identification of Production Functions"
joint with Kevin Caves, and Garth Frazer

Wednesday March 30
Theory

David Miller (UCSD)

"Efficiency in Repeated Trade with Hidden Valuations"
joint with Susan Athey

Thursday March 31
Macro

Hui Tong (Bank of England)

"Disclosure Standards and Market Efficiency: Evidence from Analysts' Forecasts"

Monday April 4
Applied

Emmanuel Saez (UC Berkeley)

"Dividend Taxes and Corporate Behavior: Evidence from the 2003 Dividend Tax Cut" joint with Raj Chetty

Tuesday April 5
Econometrics

Xiaohong Chen (NYU)

"Semi-Nonparametric IV Estimation of Shape-Invariant Engel Curves"
joint wit
h Han Hong & Alessandro Tarozzi

Wednesday April 6
Theory

Yossi Feinberg (Stanford University)

"Games with Incomplete Awareness"

Thursday April 7
Macro

Ariel Burstein (UCLA)

"International Relative Prices in New Ricardian Models of International Trade" joint with Andy Atkeson

Friday April 8
Applied lunch talk
hosted by Michelle White

Jan Brueckner (UC Irvine)

"The Political Economy of Transport-System Choice"

Monday April 11
Applied

Bronwyn Hall (UC Berkeley)

“The Private Value of Software Patents”

Tuesday April 12
Econometrics

Peter Bossaerts (CalTech)

"Prices and Portfolio Choices in Financial Markets:
Theory and Experiment
"
joint with Charles Plott and William R. Zame

Wednesday April 13
Theory

Marc Muendler (UCSD)

"Rational Information Choice in Financial Market Equilibrium"

Thursday April 14
Macro

Gadi Barlevy (Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago)

"Identification of Search Models Using Record Statistics"

Friday April 15
Applied lunch talk
hosted by Michelle White

Wolfram Schlenker (UCSD)

"The Use of Fixed Effects with Quadratic Functional Forms"

Monday April 18
Applied

Phil McCalman (UC Santa Cruz)

"Shaking All Over? International Trade and Industrial Dynamics"

Tuesday April 19
Econometrics

Jinyong Hahn (UCLA)

"Bias Reduction for Dynamic Nonlinear Panel Models with Fixed Effects" joint with Guido Kuersteiner

Wednesday April 20
Theory

Uzi Segal (Boston College)

"Calibration Results for Non-Expected Utility Preferences"

Thursday April 21
Macro

Sergio Rebelo (Kellogg School of Management)

"Large Devaluations and the Real Exchange Rate" joint with Ariel Burstein and Martin Eichenbaum

Friday April 22
Applied lunch talk
hosted by Michelle White

Krislert Samphantharak (UCSD/IRPS)

"Mixing Familiarity with Business" joint with Marianne Bertrand, Siman Johnson and Antionette Schoar

Monday April 25
Applied

Elizabeth Cascio (UC Davis)

"Education and Intergenerational Mobility: Evidence from a Natural Experiment in Puerto Rico"

Tueday April 26
Econometrics

A. Ronald Gallant (Duke University)

"On the Determination of General Scientific Models "
joint with Robert E. McCulloch

Wednesday April 27
Theory

Yan Chen (University of Michigan)

"Multi-Object Auctions with Package Bidding: An
Experimental Comparison of iBEA and Vickrey"

joint with Kan Takeuchi

Thursday April 28
Macro

Fabrizio Perri (Stern School of Management)

"Does income inequality lead to consumption inequality? evidence and theory" joint with Dirk Krueger

Monday May 2
Applied / Macro

James Smith (RAND)

"The Impact of SES on Health Over The Life-Course"

Tuesday May 3
Econometrics

Rafaella Giacomini (UCLA)

"Detecting and Predicting Forecast Breakdowns"
with Barbara Rossi

Wednesday May 4
Theory

Zvika Neeman (Boston University)

"On the Generic (Im)possibility of Full Surplus Extraction in Mechanism Design." joint with Aviad Heifetz

Thursday May 5
Macro

Matthias Doepke (UCLA)

"Real Effects of Inflation through the Redistribution of Nominal Wealth" joint with Martin Schneider

Friday May 6
Applied lunch talk
hosted by Michelle White

Karim Chalak (UCSD)

“An Extended Class of Instrumental Variables for the Estimation of Causal Effects.”

Monday May 9
Applied

Pol Antras (Harvard University)

"Contracts and the Division of Labor"

Monday May 10
Econometrics

James Powell (UC Berkeley)

"Censored Regression Quantiles with Endogenous Regressors"
joint with Richard Blundell

Thursday May 12
Macro

Nir Jaimovich (UCSD)

"Can News About the Future Drive the Business Cycle?"

Friday May 13
Applied lunch talk
hosted by Michelle White

Marc Muendler (UCSD)

"Multinational Labor Demand" joint with Sascha O. Becker and Karolina Ekholm

Monday May 16
Applied

Mihir Desai (Harvard University)

"Institutional Tax Clienteles and Payout Policy"

Tuesday May 17
Econometrics

Keisuke Hirano (University of Arizona)

"Asymptotics for Statistical Treatment Rules"

Wednesday May 18
Theory

Jimmy Chan (Johns Hopkins University)

"Media as Watchdogs: the Role of the Media in Electoral Competition" joint with Wing Suen
(related paper: "A Spatial Theory of News Consumption and Electoral Competition")

Thursday May 19
Macro/Micro joint seminar

Hyeok Jeong (USC)

"Sources of TFP Growth: Occupational Choice and Financial Deepening" joint with Robert M. Townsend

Friday May 20
Applied lunch talk
hosted by Michelle White

Jeffrey Lin (UCSD)

"Innovation, Cities, and the Creation of New Work"

Monday May 23
Applied

David Lee (UC Berkeley)

"Crime, Punishment and Myopia" joint with Justin McCrary

Tuesday May 24

Jim Andreoni (University of Wisconsin)

"Trust, Reciprocity, and Contract Enforcement: Experiments on Satisfaction Guaranteed"

Wednesday May 25
Theory

Andrea Wilson (University of Chicago)

"Bounded Memory and Biases in Information Processing"

Thursday May 26
Macro

Russell Cooper (University of Texas, Austin)

"Dynamics of Labor Demand: Evidence from Plant-level Observations and Aggregate Implications"
joint with John Haltiwanger & Jonathan L. Willis

Friday May 27
Applied lunch talk
hosted by Michelle White

Cory Koedel (UCSD)

TBA

Tuesday May 31
Econometrics

Jinyong Hahn (UCLA)

"Higher Order Efficiency of Bias Corrections"
joint with Guido Kuersteiner & Whitney Newey

Wednesday June 1
Theory

Roger Lagunoff (Georgetown University)

"A 'Super' Folk Theorem for Dyanstic Repeated Games"
joint with Luca Anderlini & Dino Gerardi

Thursday June 2
Macro

David Goldbaum (Rutgers University)

"Self-Organization and the Persistence of Noise in Financial Markets"

Friday June 3
Applied lunch talk
hosted by Michelle White

Jeffrey Vincent (UCSD)

TBA

 


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