Labor Reallocation in Response to Trade Reform

Naércio Aquino Menezes Filho, Marc-Andreas Muendler

Current draft: Nov 20, 2007
First draft: Jun 12, 2005

University of California, San Diego


abstract

Tracking individual workers across sectors and firms after Brazil's trade liberalization in the 1990s shows that tariff cuts and additional imports trigger worker displacements, but that neither comparative-advantage sectors nor exporters absorb trade-displaced workers for years. To the contrary, there are more displacements and fewer accessions in comparative-advantage sectors and at exporters, and trade liberalization increases transitions to informal work and self-employment. Labor productivity at exporters increases faster than production so that output shifts to more productive firms but labor does not.

keywords: International trade; factor reallocation; labor demand and turnover; linked employer-employee data; Brazil

jel: F14, F16, J23, J63


background

  • formal employment census RAIS (in portuguese)
  • supporting files
    • additional tables and graphs [pdf 932k]
    • sas 9.1 code for random worker draws [zip 9k]
    • stata 8.2 code for statistics and estimation [zip 185k]
    • occupational concordances [pdf 232k]
    • matched firm data base (PIA) [summary] [pdf 490k]
    • data and resources for research on brazil
  • employer-level estimates: "trade and workforce changeover in Brazil" [pdf 311k]